SOI - Precipitation Scatter Plots
Summer/Autumn SOI versus following October-March Climate
(following methodology of Redmond and Koch, Water Resources Research, 1991).
Important points from these diagrams:
Not every El Nino produces the same effect.
La Nina has a more consistent signal, in general, than El Nino.
The relations are not perfect....other things are happening in the climate system.
The 1982/83 El Nino does not fit in with the other points in some locations. Patterns for large El Ninos may differ in some ways from typical El Nino patterns.
The relationship is lagged. Best associations are found between summer/autumn SOI and the following winter climate, and the following spring and summer streamflow runoff.
Clearwater R. data courtesy David Garen NRCS-Portland,
American R data courtesy Maurice Roos, California DWR
A few locations are shown. Others will be added as time permits.
Time Series of SOI (June-Nov, after Redmond&Koch (1991))
Reno, Nevada
Las Vegas, Nevada
California 8-station index (8 Stations in Northern Sierra used by CA DWR)
American River @ Fair Oaks (Sacramento) Winter 3-Day Maximum Flow Streamflow
South Coast California Climate Division (6)
Western Montana Climate Division (1)
Central Idaho Mountains Climate Division (4)
N Fork Clearwater River (Central Idaho) April-July Streamflow
Arizona Statewide
New Mexico Statewide
Washington Statewide
Time Series:
Las Vegas, Nevada
Western Regional Climate Center, Dr. Kelly Redmond, krwrcc@dri.edu