Weather Service Report


322 
FXUS65 KREV 061008
AFDREV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
208 AM PST FRI MAR 6 2015

.SYNOPSIS...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WEST WILL BRING WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS
THROUGH TUESDAY. LOW PRESSURE MAY REACH THE CALIFORNIA COAST WITH A
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...

FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK WITH STRONG RIDGE OVER NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
DRIFTING SLIGHTLY WEST TO THE COAST BY SUNDAY. THIS PATTERN WILL
KEEP A DRY AIR MASS OVER THE REGION WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND
FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SOME OF THE LOWER ELEVATION SITES COULD
REACH 70 DEGREES BY SUNDAY. NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF CLOUD COVER IS
EXPECTED, ALTHOUGH SOME VERY HIGH CIRRUS MAY SPREAD INTO THE
REGION ON SATURDAY AS MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES HUMIDITY ABOVE 90%
IN THE 300-250 MB LAYER. COOL NIGHTS WILL CONTINUE WITH LOWS
GENERALLY IN THE TEENS AND 20S, WITH SINGLE DIGITS FOR TYPICALLY
COOLER VALLEYS NEAR THE SIERRA. MJD

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN CONTROL ON MONDAY BEFORE 
GRADUALLY SLIDING TO THE EAST ON TUESDAY IN ADVANCE OF PACIFIC 
TROUGH. TEMPERATURES WILL BE UNSEASONABLY MILD WITH 60S TO LOW 70S 
FOR MOST AREAS. HIGHS MAY EVEN BE WARMER TUESDAY IF HIGH CLOUDS
HOLD OFF UNTIL LATER IN THE DAY. SOME MOS GUIDANCE HAVE 
TEMPERATURES CLIMBING WELL INTO THE 70S FOR WESTERN NV VALLEYS.

UPPER TROUGH WILL BRING COOLING TEMPERATURES AND A CHANCE OF SHOWERS 
FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WITH A PERIOD OF GUSTY WINDS MAINLY 
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE ECMWF HAS BACKED OFF FROM ITS RECENT WETTER 
SOLUTIONS WITH ONLY THE GEM MAINTAINING SOME HOPE FOR MORE NOTABLE
QPF NUMBERS. THE GFS AND ITS ENSEMBLE SUITE ARE GENERALLY LIGHT
WITH THE PRECIPITATION AND KEEP TEMPERATURES ABOVE AVERAGE. SO FEW
CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE LOW END CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND COOLER
TEMPERATURES. A RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE AREA AGAIN BY FRIDAY.
HOHMANN

&&

.AVIATION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN LIGHT WINDS AND VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH 
THE WEEKEND. HOHMANN/WEISHAHN

&&

.REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO (ALL LOWER CASE)




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