Weather Service Report


415 
FXUS65 KPIH 060814
AFDPIH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
114 AM MST FRI MAR 6 2015

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE STAYS JUST
TO OUR WEST HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL KEEP US IN A DRY
NORTHWEST FLOW AS MULTIPLE WAVES DROP SOUTHEAST INTO THE NORTHERN
PLAINS. WE WILL SEE SOME PASSING CLOUDS BUT THAT IS ABOUT IT. THE
BIG STORY WILL WARMING TEMPERATURES AND POTENTIAL RECORD HIGH
TEMPERATURE. WE ARE STILL EXPECTING 50S TO LOW 60S FOR THE LOWER
VALLEYS WITH 40S TO NEAR 50 IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS FOR THE MOST
PART.  KEYES

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. MONDAY AND TUESDAY REMAIN DRY 
WITH RIDGE IN PLACE MED RANGE MODELS STILL STRUGGLING FOR REMAINDER 
OF PERIOD. ECMWF HAS THE BEST CONSISTENCY COMPARED TO PREVIOUS RUNS 
BUT SLIGHTLY SLOWER. DEEP PACIFIC TROUGH SPREADS PRECIP INTO EASTERN 
IDAHO MAINLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND BEYOND. TROUGH TRANSITIONS ACROSS 
THE REGION THROUGH FRIDAY WITH NEXT RIDGE RAPIDLY AMPLIFYING ALONG 
THE COAST. GFS SHOWING A MUCH FLATTER AND FASTER SOLUTION. ENSEMBLES 
APPEAR TO FAVOR THE ECMWF SO TRENDED POPS AND TEMPERATURES IN THAT 
DIRECTION. DMH

&&

.AVIATION... UPPER RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE WITH VFR CONDITIONS 
CONTINUING FOR ALL TERMINAL LOCATIONS IN EAST IDAHO THROUGH TONIGHT. DMH


&&

.PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$





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