Weather Service Report


515 
FXUS65 KLKN 052149
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
249 PM PDT THU MAY 5 2016

.SYNOPSIS...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY MOVE THROUGH THE
GREAT BASIN OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL
LAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH IMPROVING CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY
MONDAY. 
&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. UPPER LOW CENTERED OFF THE
SOUTHERN CA COAST THIS AFTERNOON WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING ACROSS WESTERN NV. WINDS AHEAD
OF THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM HAVE BEEN GUSTING TO NEAR 45 MPH
ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NV SO WILL CONTINUE THE WIND ADVISORY
UNTIL 8 PM TONIGHT. AS UPPER LOW WANDERS SLOWLY EASTWARD SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL SLOWLY SPREAD INTO EASTERN NV LATER TONIGHT
AND FRIDAY. NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NV WILL CONTINUED TO BE IMPACTED
BY THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS MOISTURE WILL
CONTINUE TO WRAP AROUND IT INTO THE REGION BRINGING SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY. WARMER AND DRIER 
ON MONDAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES OFF TO THE EAST. AS A HIGH
AMPLITUDE RIDGE BUILDS IN ALONG THE WEST COAST MONDAY...SHORTWAVE
ENERGY WILL SLIDE DOWN THE EAST SIDE OF THE RIDGE...THROUGH THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST. MAY SEE SOME LIGHT SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS NORTHERN
ELKO COUNTY MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT BEFORE THE WEAK
DISTURBANCE EXITS TO THE EAST. WHILE MODELS ARE STILL NOT IN THE BEST
AGREEMENT NEXT WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY THE FLOW ALOFT IS LOOKING LIKE
IT WILL BE WEAK AS THE WEST COAST RIDGE GRADUALLY BREAKS DOWN WHILE
IT DRIFTS IN OVER THE INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST. BACKED OFF ON POPS FOR
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WITH THE LATEST FORECAST. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE
NOW EXPECTED TO BE NEAR TO LIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL NEXT WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY...WHILE FEWER CLOUDS RESULT IN NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW
NORMAL OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES.
&&

.AVIATION...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS
NORTHWESTERN NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF EARLY THIS
EVENING. MAY SEE A FEW STORM CELLS APPROACH KWMC BEFORE SUNSET.
STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL ALSO CONTINUE ACROSS CENTRAL AND PORTIONS
OF NORTHERN NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE TAPERING OFF DURING THE
EARLY TO MID-EVENING HOURS. LIGHTER WINDS ON FRIDAY...HOWEVER EXPECT
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO EXPAND FURTHER EASTWARD...POTENTIALLY
IMPACTING ALL OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA THROUGH THE EARLY
EVENING HOURS.
&&

.HYDROLOGY...HIGH STREAM FLOWS WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEK DUE TO
WARMER TEMPERATURES AND SUBSEQUENT MELTING OF SNOW FROM HIGHER
ELEVATIONS. SOME SMALLER CREEKS RUNNING OFF THE MOUNTAINS MAY
EXCEED BANKFULL...ESPECIALLY ACROSS ELKO COUNTY. THE JARBIDGE
RIVER AND LAMOILLE CREEK ARE CONTINUING TO RISE AND HAVE BEEN
PEAKING IN THE EVENING HOURS EACH DAY. HIGH FLOWS IN OR NEAR
SMALL STREAMS MAY CAUSE SOGGY OR ERODED SECONDARY ROADWAYS THAT
COULD MAKE THEM IMPASSABLE AT TIMES.
&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR NORTHEASTERN NYE 
COUNTY-SOUTHERN LANDER COUNTY AND SOUTHERN EUREKA COUNTY-WHITE 
PINE COUNTY.
&&

$$

91/96/96

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