Weather Service Report


828 
FXUS65 KLKN 281401
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...COORECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV 
245 AM PDT SAT MAR 28 2015

CORRECTED CLIMATE

.SYNOPSIS...A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PASSING TO THE NORTH OF
NEVADA WILL BRING ABOUT 5 TO 10 DEGREES OF COOLING TODAY...MAINLY
ACROSS THE NORTH. LIMITED MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY ACROSS CENTRAL
NEVADA SUNDAY AFTERNOON COULD TRIGGER A THUNDERSTORM OVER THE
MOUNTAINS IN CENTRAL. A COUPLE OF STORM SYSTEMS NEXT WEEK WILL
CLIP NORTHERN NEVADA...BRINGING A FEW SHOWERS AND COOLING
TEMPERATURES TO NEAR NORMAL LEVELS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. MAINLY CLEAR SKIES ARE
APPARENT ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA THIS MORNING. A RIBBON OF CLOUDS
CAN BE SEEN ENTERING NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND EXTREME NORTHWEST
NEVADA AT THIS TIME. THIS IS DUE TO A MAINLY DRY SURFACE COLD
FRONT THAT WILL BE MOVING THROUGH LATER TODAY.

A MIX OF SUN AND CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED...WITH SOME WIND. WINDS WILL
GENERALLY BE BREEZY AND REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA. AREAS
NORTH OF US HIGHWAY 50 SHOULD SEE SOME COOLING FOR THE AFTERNOON
HIGHS VERSUS YESTERDAY...ABOUT 5 TO 10 DEGREES OR SO. LOCALES
SOUTH OF US HIGHWAY 50 COULD STILL SEE SOME RECORDS BROKEN. THE
CLIMATE SECTION BELOW EXPLAINS THIS.

FOR TONIGHT...SKIES WILL BE MAINLY CLEAR WITH JUST A FEW CLOUDS
PASSING OVERHEAD FROM TIME TO TIME. WINDS WILL DIMINISH AS WELL.
QUIET WEATHER WILL REMAIN.

BY SUNDAY...A WEAK PIECE OF ENERGY IN THE FLOW WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE STATE. THERE IS SOME MOISTURE FOR CLOUDS...WITH THE BEST CHANCE
FOR SEEING THEM IN CENTRAL NEVADA...WHERE A CONVERGENT BOUNDARY
WILL SET UP. CUMULUS BUILD UPS ARE POSSIBLE...SO KEPT A VERY LOW
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDER IN THIS AREA FOR TOMORROW...AS LIFTED
INDICES ARE LESS THAN ZERO WITH LIMITED CAPE.

SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...SOME INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN AROUND
SOUTHEAST WHITE PINE COUNTY...NEAR GREAT BASIN PARK. HAVE KEPT
SOME LOW POPS IN FOR THAT AREA. OTHERWISE...QUIET WEATHER
CONTINUES WITH MAINLY SUNNY SKIES. TEMPERATURES WILL AGAIN BE WELL
ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...AND THERE IS AGAIN A
POSSIBILITY OF ADDITIONAL RECORDS BEING BROKEN IN CENTRAL NEVADA.

.LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH 
APPROACHING THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST MONDAY NIGHT GRADUALLY WEAKENS AS 
IT MOVES INLAND ACROSS IDAHO AND NORTHERN NEVADA TUESDAY. ANY 
MOISTURE WITH THIS WEAKENING SYSTEM WILL BE CONFINED TO NORTHERN 
HUMBOLDT AND ELKO COUNTIES DURING TUESDAY. AFTER A DRY CHILLY DAY 
WEDNESDAY...BOTH THE ECMWF AND CANADIAN MODELS ARE THE MODELS OF 
CHOICE /AS WELL AS WITH WPC AND PREVIOUS FORECASTER/ FAVOR A 
STRONGER TROUGH DIGGING INTO NEVADA AIDED BY AN H3 80-100 KT JET 
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WITH THIS BEING A MUCH STRONGER AND COLDER 
TROUGH...COVERAGE OF PRECIPITATION WILL BE GREATER ACROSS MAINLY 
HUMBOLDT AND ELKO COUNTIES AND IN THE FORM OF SNOW SHOWERS. THE 
TROUGH SLOWLY SHIFTS EAST KEEPING SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS CONFINED TO 
MAINLY HUMBOLDT AND ELKO COUNTIES AS WELL AS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF 
LANDER AND EUREKA COUNTIES DURING THURSDAY. BOTH THE ECMWF AND 
CANADIAN MODELS FAVOR A WEAK SHORT WAVE RIDGE TO BUILD INTO NEVADA 
WITH DRY CONDITIONS FOR THE CWA AND TEMPERATURES MODERATING TO ABOVE 
NORMAL LEVELS ON FRIDAY. 

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SKIES BECOME 
PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY AT TIMES AS A WEAK DRY FRONT PASSES WEST
TO EAST ACROSS THE REGION TODAY.

&&

.CLIMATE...ALTHOUGH THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED
AND MOVED EAST...SOME RECORD HIGHS ARE STILL POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON IN CENTRAL NEVADA. BELOW ARE THE FORECAST AND RECORDS
FOR TODAY. IN ADDITION...HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND BACK INTO
THE 70S ON MONDAY...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF MORE RECORDS BEING
BROKEN.

            RECORD   FORECAST   RECORD   FORECAST
AIRPORT    SATURDAY  SATURDAY   MONDAY    MONDAY

ELY         71/1986     72      72/1966     73
EUREKA      68/1994     70      73/1968     74
TONOPAH     76/1986     74      77/1966     75

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

86/89/89

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