Weather Service Report


371 
FXUS65 KFGZ 020407
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ 
910 PM MST WED JUL 01 2015

.SYNOPSIS...THE MONSOON WILL REMAIN ACTIVE ACROSS NORTHERN AND 
CENTRAL ARIZONA INTO NEXT WEEK. EXPECT A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...AN MCS FORMED IN THE EASTERN LCR EARLIER THIS EVENING 
AND WILL BE DRIVING CONVECTION WESTWARD THROUGH THE NIGHT...WITH A 
LARGE AREA OF TRAILING STRATIFORM RAINFALL. MULTIPLE OUTFLOWS FROM 
EARLIER CONVECTION NEAR TUBA CITY AND THE CURRENT COMPLEX MAY MOVE 
INTO GILA AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES TONIGHT. THESE AREAS HAVE NOT BEEN 
WORKED OVER YET AND ANOTHER NIGHT OF NOCTURNAL CONVECTION SEEMS MORE 
AND MORE LIKELY.

THE LCR IS LIKELY TO BE PRETTY QUIET TOMORROW WITH ALL THE RAINFALL. 
CONVECTION MAY BE LIMITED TO THE RIM AND OTHER HIGHER TERRAIN SOUTH 
OF THE RIM. PRODUCTS AND HAZARDS ARE STILL ONGOING...ZONES AND GRIDS 
ARE REPRESENTATIVE ENOUGH FOR NOW...NO UPDATES.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 06Z PACKAGE...EXPECT WDSPRD SHRA/TSRA AND ISOLD 
+TSRA THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE MOST ACTIVE PERIODS WILL BE THROUGH 
08Z-10Z TONIGHT...THEN AFT 18Z THURS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE HIGHER 
TERRAIN. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL KEEP A 
MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA FOR THE NEXT 
SEVERAL DAYS. EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH 
AFTERNOON. SOME STORMS THIS EVENING MAY BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE. 

FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...A TYPICAL MONSOON WEATHER PATTERN WILL 
CONTINUE WITH DAILY CHANCES SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURES 
WILL REMAIN CLOSE TO NORMAL.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...PETERSON
AVIATION...PETERSON
FIRE WEATHER...MCS


FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF

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