Weather Service Report


924 
AXUS76 KHNX 161650
DGTHNX
CAC019-029-031-039-043-047-107-182200-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
950 AM PDT THU OCT 16 2014

...EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS MOST OF THE WFO HANFORD 
WARNING/FORECAST AREA WITH EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS ELSEWHERE...

SYNOPSIS...

ON JANUARY 17TH...GOVERNOR BROWN DECLARED A DROUGHT EMERGENCY FOR 
THE STATE OF CALIFORNIA. ON APRIL 25TH...THE GOVERNOR SIGNED AN 
EMERGENCY DROUGHT PROCLAMATION. ON SEPTEMBER 16TH...GOVERNOR BROWN 
SIGNED LEGISLATION THAT REGULATES GROUNDWATER FOR THE FIRST TIME IN 
CALIFORNIA/S HISTORY.

THE LATEST DROUGHT MONITOR /OCTOBER 16TH 2014/ CONTINUES TO DEPICT 
ALL OF THE WFO HANFORD COUNTY WARNING/FORECAST AREA...EXCEPT THE 
KERN COUNTY DESERTS AND THE HIGH COUNTRY OF YOSEMITE NATIONAL 
PARK...UNDER EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT CONDITIONS /CATEGORY D4/...WHILE 
THE KERN COUNTY DESERTS AND THE HIGH COUNTRY OF YOSEMITE REMAIN 
UNDER EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS /CATEGORY D3/.

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

ON SEPTEMBER 7TH...THE FRESNO BEE CARRIED A STORY THAT REPORTED THAT 
THE RATE OF SUBSIDENCE ALONG THE DELTA-MENDOTA CANAL HAD INCREASED 
FROM A HALF INCH PER YEAR TO A HALF INCH PER MONTH.

ON SEPTEMBER 13TH...THE FRESNO BEE CARRIED A STORY ON ALMOND GROWERS 
IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY WHICH NOTED THAT THE ESTIMATED COST FOR A 
WELL CAPABLE OF SERVICING 20 ACRES WAS AS MUCH AS 100 THOUSAND 
DOLLARS.

ON SEPTEMBER 13TH...THE HANFORD SENTINEL REPORTED THAT THE CITY OF 
AVENAL AND THE AVENAL STATE PRISON COULD BE OUT OF WATER BY THE END 
OF 2014.

ON SEPTEMBER 23RD...KMPH REPORTED A NEIGHBORHOOD WELL WENT DRY IN 
WEST HANFORD...REQUIRING 38 HOMES TO BE CONNECTED TO NEARBY 
TEMPORARY WATER ACCESS.

ON OCTOBER 7TH...THE HANFORD SENTINEL REPORTED THAT CORCORAN CA 
APPROVED $2.5M FOR THE INSTALLATION OF A NEARLY 1800 FT WELL TO 
SUPPLEMENT THE EXISTING NINE WELLS RANGING FROM 400-1000 FT DEEP.

ON OCTOBER 11TH...THE FRESNO BEE REPORTED ON TREES IN PARKS ACROSS 
FRESNO SHOWING STRESS FROM THE DROUGHT AND HOW THE CITY IS HANDLING 
THE SITUATION.

ON OCTOBER 14TH...THE HANFORD SENTINEL REPORTED A REDUCTION IN THE 
ALMOND CROP IS NOW EXPECTED THIS YEAR DUE TO POORER WATER QUALITY 
ASSOCIATED WITH DEEPER DRILLING.

WILDFIRES...INCLUDING THE MEADOW AND DOG ROCK FIRES IN MARIPOSA 
COUNTY...SAW RAPID INITIAL GROWTH IN THE DRY VEGETATION.

THERE CONTINUES TO BE SIGNIFICANT MEDIA COVERAGE ON THE ON-GOING 
DROUGHT CONDITIONS. THESE REPORTS INCLUDE DISCUSSION OF SIGNIFICANT 
RE-ALLOCATION OF WATER RESOURCES FROM THE EAST TO WEST SIDE OF THE 
SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY...FARMERS FORGOING PLANTING OF SOME CROPS... 
REDUCTION IN AIR QUALITY DUE TO PERSISTENT STAGNANT AIR...AND LOSS 
OR REDUCTION OF GROUND WATER.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

FOR THE PREVIOUS PRECIPITATION YEAR...JULY 1ST 2013 THROUGH JUNE 
30TH...FRESNO RECEIVED 4.81 INCHES OF RAIN OR 41.8 PERCENT OF THE 
NORMAL OF 11.50 INCHES. BAKERSFIELD RECEIVED 2.41 INCHES OR 37.2 
PERCENT OF THE NORMAL OF 6.47 INCHES. THIS WAS FRESNO/S SECOND 
DRIEST WATER YEAR ON RECORD...AND BAKERSFIELD/S THIRD DRIEST.

FOR THE CURRENT PRECIPITATION YEAR TO DATE...JULY 1ST THROUGH 
OCTOBER 16TH...FRESNO RECEIVED 0.19 INCHES OF RAIN WHILE BAKERSFIELD 
RECEIVED 0.01 INCHES.

THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE AT BAKERSFIELD FOR THE PERIOD JANUARY 1ST 
THROUGH OCTOBER 15TH WAS 72.4 DEGREES. THIS IS THE WARMEST SUCH 
PERIOD ON RECORD.

THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE AT FRESNO FOR THE PERIOD JANUARY 1ST THROUGH 
OCTOBER 15TH WAS 72.2 DEGREES. THIS ALSO WAS THE WARMEST SUCH PERIOD 
ON RECORD. 

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

THE NOAA CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER 6-10 DAY OUTLOOK ISSUED OCTOBER 
15TH FAVORS ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS CENTRAL CALIFORNIA... 
AND HAS EQUAL CHANCES OF ABOVE-...NEAR-...OR BELOW NORMAL 
PRECIPITATION OVER CENTRAL CALIFORNIA.

THE LATEST 8-14 DAY OUTLOOK SLIGHTLY FAVORS DRIER THAN NORMAL 
CONDITIONS FOR THE SIERRA NEVADA BUT OTHERWISE HAS EQUAL CHANCES OF 
ABOVE-...NEAR- OR BELOW-NORMAL PRECIPITATION. ABOVE NORMAL 
TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORED.

THE CLIMATE PREDICTION OUTLOOK FOR THE NEXT 30 DAYS...BASED ON DATA 
FROM THE CURRENT STATE OF THE OCEANS AND ATMOSPHERE ALONG WITH 
CLIMATE MODELS...FROM THE NOAA CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTERS INDICATES 
THE ODDS ARE FAVORING ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR CENTRAL 
CALIFORNIA...WITH EQUAL CHANCES FOR ABOVE-...NEAR- OR BELOW NORMAL 
PRECIPITATION.

FOR THE THREE-MONTH PERIOD NOVEMBER-DECEMBER-JANUARY...THE ODDS 
FAVOR ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR CENTRAL CALIFORNIA WITH EQUAL 
CHANCES OF ABOVE-...NEAR-...OR BELOW-NORMAL PRECIPITATION /SEE LINKS 
BELOW/.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...

WITH NO ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION EXPECTED 
OVER THE AREA FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...NO INCREASES IN AREA 
RIVERS AND RESERVOIRS WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED. THE CURRENT DROUGHT 
OUTLOOK FROM THE NOAA CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER INDICATES CURRENT 
DROUGHT LEVELS ARE LIKELY TO PERSIST THROUGH THE NEXT THREE MONTHS.

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

20 NOVEMBER 2014...OR EARLIER IF CONDITIONS CHANGE.

&&

RELATED WEBSITES...
CALIFORNIA DATA EXCHANGE CENTER: HTTP://CDEC.WATER.CA.GOV/
CALIFORNIA NEVADA RIVER FORECAST CENTER:
HTTP://WWW.CNRFC.NOAA.GOV/
DROUGHT MONITOR: HTTP://DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML
CALIFORNIA DROUGHT PAGE:
HTTP://WATERSUPPLYCONDITIONS.WATER.CA.GOV/
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER: HTTP://WWW.CPC.NOAA.GOV/INDEX.PHP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HANFORD: HTTP://WWW.WRH.NOAA.GOV/HNX/

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER
DROUGHT MONITOR
CALIFORNIA NEVADA RIVER FORECAST CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES
CALIFORNIA STATE CLIMATOLOGIST
U.S. BUREAU OF RECLAMATION
CAL FIRE

QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS...PLEASE REFER ALL QUESTIONS TO
W-HNX.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

$$

INIGUEZ/SANGER

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD

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