Spring 'Freeze' Probabilities (Jan 1 - Jul 31)


YELLOWSTONE PK MAMMOTH, (489905)
Temp F Earliest 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Latest
36.5 05/31 06/16 06/20 06/22 06/27 07/01 07/04 07/11 07/17 07/23 07/30
32.5 05/05 05/24 05/28 06/03 06/10 06/14 06/19 06/21 06/28 07/07 07/23
28.5 04/17 05/05 05/08 05/13 05/17 05/22 05/24 05/31 06/07 06/17 07/23
24.5 04/11 04/25 04/30 05/02 05/04 05/07 05/11 05/14 05/18 05/25 07/14
20.5 03/29 04/15 04/20 04/23 04/26 04/29 05/01 05/02 05/09 05/14 06/05
Graphic Output
 Earliest - Earliest date when a minimum temperature below the threshold occurred.
            **/** means there has been a year when the minimum temperature didn't
                  go below the threshold temperature during the Jan. 1 to July 31 
                  period or that there was insufficient data to determine a 
                  date.

xx% - Percent probability that a minimum temperature below the threshold will occur on or after the given date. **/** means non-occurrence of the threshold or insufficient data to determine a threshold.
Latest - Latest date when a minimum temperature below the threshold occurred. **/** means there has never been a year when the minimum temperature went below the threshold temperature during the Jan. 1 to July 31 period or insufficient data to determine a date. 07/30 means the minimum temperature can go below the threshold temperature any day during the Jan. 1 to July 31 period.

Western Regional Climate Center, wrcc@dri.edu