Spring 'Freeze' Probabilities (Jan 1 - Jul 31)


ASTOR EXP STN, te (350318)
Temp F Earliest 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Latest
36.5 04/27 05/06 05/09 05/15 05/20 05/25 05/28 05/29 05/30 06/07 06/19
32.5 03/21 04/17 04/20 04/27 05/01 05/04 05/08 05/12 05/21 05/26 05/31
28.5 01/05 03/03 03/14 03/21 03/27 03/30 04/06 04/14 04/18 04/26 05/13
24.5 **/** **/** **/** 01/19 02/03 02/17 02/27 03/01 03/06 03/12 03/30
20.5 **/** **/** **/** **/** **/** 01/04 01/16 01/29 02/03 02/18 03/01
Graphic Output
 Earliest - Earliest date when a minimum temperature below the threshold occurred.
            **/** means there has been a year when the minimum temperature didn't
                  go below the threshold temperature during the Jan. 1 to July 31 
                  period or that there was insufficient data to determine a 
                  date.

xx% - Percent probability that a minimum temperature below the threshold will occur on or after the given date. **/** means non-occurrence of the threshold or insufficient data to determine a threshold.
Latest - Latest date when a minimum temperature below the threshold occurred. **/** means there has never been a year when the minimum temperature went below the threshold temperature during the Jan. 1 to July 31 period or insufficient data to determine a date. 07/30 means the minimum temperature can go below the threshold temperature any day during the Jan. 1 to July 31 period.

Western Regional Climate Center, wrcc@dri.edu