Fall 'Freeze' Probabilities (Jul. 31 - Dec. 31)


DETROIT DAM, : (352292)
Temp F Earliest 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Latest
36.5 09/03 10/18 10/23 10/27 10/31 11/01 11/03 11/08 11/13 11/21 12/03
32.5 10/11 10/28 11/02 11/11 11/16 11/21 11/28 12/01 12/06 12/13 12/22
28.5 10/26 11/12 11/26 12/07 12/14 12/19 12/27 **/** **/** **/** **/**
24.5 11/13 11/24 12/11 12/17 12/24 **/** **/** **/** **/** **/** **/**
20.5 11/15 12/11 12/21 **/** **/** **/** **/** **/** **/** **/** **/**
Graphic Output
 Earliest - Earliest date when a minimum temperature below the threshold occurred.
            **/** means there has never been a year when the minimum temperature
                  went below the threshold temperature during the July 31 to 
                  Dec. 31 period or insufficient data to determine a date.
            07/31 means the minimum temperature can go below the threshold 
                  temperature any day during the July 31 to Dec. 31 period.
xx% - Percent probability that a minimum temperature below the threshold will occur on or before the given date. **/** means non-occurrence of the threshold or insufficient data to determine a threshold.
Latest - Latest date when a minimum temperature below the threshold occurred. **/** means there has been a year when the minimum temperature didn't go below the threshold temperature during the July 31 to Dec. 31 period or insufficient data to determine a date.

Western Regional Climate Center, wrcc@dri.edu