Fall 'Freeze' Probabilities (Jul. 31 - Dec. 31)


DETROIT st, (352277)
Temp F Earliest 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Latest
36.5 07/31 08/02 08/16 08/24 08/29 09/05 09/09 09/18 09/22 10/05 10/09
32.5 09/06 09/10 09/16 09/20 09/24 09/29 10/05 10/15 10/20 10/22 10/30
28.5 09/27 10/12 10/17 10/23 10/26 10/30 11/05 11/12 11/18 11/22 12/12
24.5 10/16 10/19 11/05 11/11 11/14 11/16 11/21 11/26 11/30 **/** **/**
20.5 10/29 11/10 11/16 11/25 12/08 12/11 12/14 12/29 **/** **/** **/**
Graphic Output
 Earliest - Earliest date when a minimum temperature below the threshold occurred.
            **/** means there has never been a year when the minimum temperature
                  went below the threshold temperature during the July 31 to 
                  Dec. 31 period or insufficient data to determine a date.
            07/31 means the minimum temperature can go below the threshold 
                  temperature any day during the July 31 to Dec. 31 period.
xx% - Percent probability that a minimum temperature below the threshold will occur on or before the given date. **/** means non-occurrence of the threshold or insufficient data to determine a threshold.
Latest - Latest date when a minimum temperature below the threshold occurred. **/** means there has been a year when the minimum temperature didn't go below the threshold temperature during the July 31 to Dec. 31 period or insufficient data to determine a date.

Western Regional Climate Center, wrcc@dri.edu