Fall 'Freeze' Probabilities (Jul. 31 - Dec. 31)


I-L RCH st, (263940)
Temp F Earliest 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Latest
36.5 08/02 09/24 08/02 10/06 08/06 08/10 08/11 10/16 08/19 10/26 08/26
32.5 08/12 10/05 08/16 10/12 08/22 08/23 08/24 10/25 08/27 11/04 08/29
28.5 08/20 10/12 08/21 10/25 08/25 08/28 08/29 11/04 09/23 11/15 10/17
24.5 08/29 10/23 08/30 11/04 09/05 09/09 09/21 11/16 10/15 11/23 10/27
20.5 09/18 11/05 09/19 11/19 09/27 10/04 10/11 11/28 10/23 12/04 10/27
Graphic Output
 Earliest - Earliest date when a minimum temperature below the threshold occurred.
            **/** means there has never been a year when the minimum temperature
                  went below the threshold temperature during the July 31 to 
                  Dec. 31 period or insufficient data to determine a date.
            07/31 means the minimum temperature can go below the threshold 
                  temperature any day during the July 31 to Dec. 31 period.
xx% - Percent probability that a minimum temperature below the threshold will occur on or before the given date. **/** means non-occurrence of the threshold or insufficient data to determine a threshold.
Latest - Latest date when a minimum temperature below the threshold occurred. **/** means there has been a year when the minimum temperature didn't go below the threshold temperature during the July 31 to Dec. 31 period or insufficient data to determine a date.

Western Regional Climate Center, wrcc@dri.edu