Fall 'Freeze' Probabilities (Jul. 31 - Dec. 31)


MT HEBRON 11 ESE, st (045940)
Temp F Earliest 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Latest
36.5 09/09 10/04 12/65 10/13 10/19 10/23 10/26 10/30 11/07 11/16 12/11
32.5 10/04 10/23 12/65 11/03 11/09 11/16 11/19 11/24 11/27 12/01 12/17
28.5 10/18 11/13 12/65 11/22 11/27 12/01 12/05 12/09 12/15 **/** **/**
24.5 10/19 11/21 12/65 12/07 12/18 12/27 **/** **/** **/** **/** **/**
20.5 10/29 12/07 12/65 **/** **/** **/** **/** **/** **/** **/** **/**
Graphic Output
 Earliest - Earliest date when a minimum temperature below the threshold occurred.
            **/** means there has never been a year when the minimum temperature
                  went below the threshold temperature during the July 31 to 
                  Dec. 31 period or insufficient data to determine a date.
            07/31 means the minimum temperature can go below the threshold 
                  temperature any day during the July 31 to Dec. 31 period.
xx% - Percent probability that a minimum temperature below the threshold will occur on or before the given date. **/** means non-occurrence of the threshold or insufficient data to determine a threshold.
Latest - Latest date when a minimum temperature below the threshold occurred. **/** means there has been a year when the minimum temperature didn't go below the threshold temperature during the July 31 to Dec. 31 period or insufficient data to determine a date.

Western Regional Climate Center, wrcc@dri.edu